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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Jessica Eye won · U-DEC R3

Elo1428

Elo1497

Jessica EyevsViviane AraujoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · Saturday, December 14, 2019Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jessica Eye won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJessica Eye: Well-roundedvsViviane Araujo: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Viviane Araujo wins(55.7%)

Actual result: Jessica Eye wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Viviane Araujo at -225 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica Eye enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Viviane Araujo has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica Eye

Red Corner

Viviane Araujo

Blue Corner

+185

(35%)

Vegas Odds

-225

(69%)

1428

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'4"

167.64 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica EyeL5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Valentina Shevchenko · Jun 19

vs Cynthia Calvillo · Jun 20

vs Joanne Calderwood · Jan 21

vs Jennifer Maia · Jul 21

vs Maycee Barber · Jul 22

latest

Viviane Araujo

oldest →

vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 23

vs Jennifer Maia · Oct 23

vs Natalia Silva · Feb 24

vs Karine Silva · Nov 24

vs Tracy Cortez · Jun 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica EyeMetricViviane Araujo

3.86

Strikes / min

3.84

4.19

Strikes absorbed / min

4.83

55%

Strike defense

55%

0.58

TDs / 15 min

1.72

57%

Takedown defense

75%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.33evenly matched on net striking-0.99

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jessica EyeViviane Araujo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jessica Eye(10 fights)Viviane Araujo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -68.5|Blue +68.5

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red +3.1|Blue -3.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica EyeTargetViviane Araujo

By target zone

33% acc · 41%

Head

38% acc · 70%

73% acc · 30%

Body

100% acc · 13%

83% acc · 30%

Leg

83% acc · 18%

By position

48% acc · 93%

Distance

45% acc · 91%

88% acc · 7%

Clinch

50% acc · 4%

Ground

75% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jessica Eye rounds

even

Viviane Araujo rounds

Round 1Viviane Araujo edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

26Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:16Control

Round 2Jessica Eye edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:13

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 3Jessica Eye edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

98 / 196

Sig Strikes

56 / 122

49%

Sig Str %

43.7%

100 / 198

Total Strikes

69 / 135

0 / 1

TDs

2 / 7

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:13

Ctrl Time

1:43

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Viviane Araujo	26 / 49	37 / 60	1 / 1
1	Jessica Eye	25 / 59	25 / 59	0 / 1
2	Viviane Araujo	9 / 30	11 / 32	1 / 2
2	Jessica Eye	35 / 65	37 / 67	0 / 0
3	Viviane Araujo	21 / 43	21 / 43	0 / 4
3	Jessica Eye	38 / 72	38 / 72	0 / 0

Jessica Eye

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights15

Viviane Araujo

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights13