Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jared Cannonier is a KO finisher (64% of wins). David Branch has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Jared Cannonier has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jared Cannonier (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
David Branch
oldest →L
SUBvs Rousimar Palhares · Mar 11W
vs Krzysztof Jotko · May 17L
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Sep 17W
KOvs Thiago Santos · Apr 18L
SUBvs Jack Hermansson · Mar 19 Jared CannonierL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jun 24L
vs Caio Borralho · Aug 24W
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 25L
vs Michael Page · Aug 25L
DECvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
David BranchMetricJared Cannonier
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.25evenly matched on net striking+0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
David BranchJared Cannonier
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
David Branch(9 fights)Jared Cannonier(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -109.5|Blue +109.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
David BranchTargetJared Cannonier
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1David Branch edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns3
Control1:58
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:28Control
Round 2Jared Cannonier edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
1Knockdowns
