Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Andrei Arlovski has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andrei ArlovskiL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Jared Vanderaa · Feb 22W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24L
vs Martin Buday · Jun 24 Marcos Rogerio de Lima
oldest →W
KOvs Ben Rothwell · Nov 21L
vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 22W
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Apr 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jul 23W
KOvs Junior Tafa · Feb 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andrei ArlovskiMetricMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.60evenly matched on net striking+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Andrei ArlovskiMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)Marcos Rogerio de Lima(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -13.7|Blue +13.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Andrei ArlovskiTargetMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Marcos Rogerio de Lima rounds
Round 1Marcos Rogerio de Lima edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:30Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
