Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Geraldo de Freitas has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Geraldo de Freitas has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Geraldo de FreitasL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Aug 19L
vs Tony Gravely · Nov 20 Felipe ColaresL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Domingo Pilarte · Jul 19L
vs Montel Jackson · Jan 20W
vs Luke Sanders · May 21L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Oct 21L
KOvs Chase Hooper · May 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Geraldo de FreitasMetricFelipe Colares
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.05Δ 3.53 — meaningful gap-2.48
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Geraldo de Freitas(3 fights)Felipe Colares(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -34.0|Blue +34.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Geraldo de FreitasTargetFelipe Colares
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Geraldo de Freitas rounds
Round 1Geraldo de Freitas edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control1:54
7Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
1:12Control
Round 2Geraldo de Freitas edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns2
Control1:49
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:02Control
Round 3Geraldo de Freitas edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns3
Control2:51
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
