Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jeremy Kimball enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jeremy Kimball is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Josh Stansbury has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Josh Stansbury has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jeremy Kimball (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh Stansbury
oldest →W
vs Cory Hendricks · Jul 16 Jeremy KimballL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jan 17L
SUBvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 17L
KOvs Darko Stosic · Jul 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh StansburyMetricJeremy Kimball
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.32evenly matched on net striking-1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Josh StansburyJeremy Kimball
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Stansbury(3 fights)Jeremy Kimball(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -5.8|Blue +5.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.1|Blue -2.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Josh StansburyTargetJeremy Kimball
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jeremy Kimball edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:23
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
