Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Chandler enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dustin Poirier is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Michael Chandler has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dustin Poirier (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin PoirierL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Dec 21L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jul 23W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Mar 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jun 24L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 25 Michael ChandlerL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Justin Gaethje · Nov 21W
KOvs Tony Ferguson · May 22L
vs Charles Oliveira · Nov 24L
KOvs Paddy Pimblett · Apr 25L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin PoirierMetricMichael Chandler
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.67Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap-0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dustin PoirierMichael Chandler
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Poirier(10 fights)Michael Chandler(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +39.7|Blue -39.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.1|Blue -2.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +147.0|Blue -147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dustin PoirierTargetMichael Chandler
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Michael Chandler edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:00
23Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:05Control
Round 2Michael Chandler edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:34Control
Round 3Dustin Poirier edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:47
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
