Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yoel Romero enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Yoel Romero is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Tim Kennedy has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Yoel Romero (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim Kennedy
oldest →W
vs Roger Gracie · Jul 13W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 13W
vs Michael Bisping · Apr 14L
KOvs Kelvin Gastelum · Dec 16 Yoel RomeroL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 17W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Feb 18L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jun 18L
vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim KennedyMetricYoel Romero
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.94evenly matched on net striking+0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tim KennedyYoel Romero
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Kennedy(5 fights)Yoel Romero(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -22.9|Blue +22.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +3.0|Blue -3.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tim KennedyTargetYoel Romero
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Yoel Romero edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:15Control
Round 2Tim Kennedy edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:01
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:15Control
Round 3Yoel Romero edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:36Control
2Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
