Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dwight Grant enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dwight Grant (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alan JoubanW2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 17L
KOvs Niko Price · Aug 17W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Feb 18W
vs Jared Gooden · Nov 20 Dwight GrantL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · Aug 20W
vs Stefan Sekulic · Apr 21L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Oct 21L
KOvs Sergey Khandozhko · Apr 22L
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Jul 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alan JoubanMetricDwight Grant
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.90Δ 1.27 — meaningful gap+0.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alan JoubanDwight Grant
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alan Jouban(10 fights)Dwight Grant(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +63.3|Blue -63.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +364.0|Blue -364.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alan JoubanTargetDwight Grant
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dwight Grant edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:08
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Dwight Grant edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:08
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control0:13
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
