Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felipe dos Santos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Victor Altamirano has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Victor Altamirano has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Victor Altamirano (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Victor AltamiranoL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Carlos Hernandez · Feb 22W
KOvs Daniel Lacerda · Aug 22W
vs Vinicius Salvador · Mar 23L
vs Daniel Barez · Sep 24 Felipe dos SantosL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Mar 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Victor AltamiranoMetricFelipe dos Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.76evenly matched on net striking-0.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Victor AltamiranoFelipe dos Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Victor Altamirano(6 fights)Felipe dos Santos(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +5.2|Blue -5.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Victor AltamiranoTargetFelipe dos Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Victor Altamirano rounds
0
Felipe dos Santos rounds
Round 1Victor Altamirano edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns6
Control2:14
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Victor Altamirano edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns2
Control1:23
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Victor Altamirano edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control1:25
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:51Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
