Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raquel Pennington enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Raquel Pennington has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raquel PenningtonW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Sep 21W
SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Dec 21W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Jan 23W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jan 24 Julianna PenaL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Germaine de Randamie · Oct 20W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Jan 21W
SUBvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 21L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jul 22L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Jun 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raquel PenningtonMetricJulianna Pena
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.78evenly matched on net striking+0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Raquel PenningtonJulianna Pena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raquel Pennington(10 fights)Julianna Pena(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +8.2|Blue -8.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -539.0|Blue +539.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Raquel PenningtonTargetJulianna Pena
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Raquel Pennington rounds
Round 1Julianna Pena edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Julianna Pena edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:00Control
Round 3Julianna Pena edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:20Control
Round 4Raquel Pennington edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:22
Knockdowns1
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:20Control
0Knockdowns
Round 5Raquel Pennington edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:11
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
