Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Beneil Dariush has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Beneil Dariush (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Beneil DariushL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 23L
KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 23W
vs Renato Moicano · Jun 25L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 25L
KOvs Quillan Salkilld · May 26 Scott HoltzmanL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Aug 19L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Apr 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Beneil DariushMetricScott Holtzman
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.11evenly matched on net striking+0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Beneil DariushScott Holtzman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Beneil Dariush(10 fights)Scott Holtzman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +37.2|Blue -37.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Beneil DariushTargetScott Holtzman
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Beneil Dariush edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns0
Control1:57
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
