Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mauricio Rua enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Tyson Pedro is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Mauricio Rua has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mauricio RuaL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Jul 18W
vs Rogerio Nogueira · Jul 20L
KOvs Paul Craig · Nov 20L
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 22L
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jan 23 Tyson Pedro
oldest →W
KOvs Ike Villanueva · Apr 22W
KOvs Harry Hunsucker · Aug 22L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · Feb 23W
KOvs Anton Turkalj · Sep 23L
vs Vitor Petrino · Mar 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mauricio RuaMetricTyson Pedro
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.78evenly matched on net striking+0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mauricio RuaTyson Pedro
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mauricio Rua(10 fights)Tyson Pedro(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -53.2|Blue +53.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -29.0|Blue +29.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mauricio RuaTargetTyson Pedro
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tyson Pedro edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control0:35
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:41Control
Round 2Mauricio Rua edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns2
Control4:33
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Mauricio Rua edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:12
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
