Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Belal Muhammad has 74pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chance Rencountre (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Belal MuhammadL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Gilbert Burns · May 23W
vs Leon Edwards · Jul 24L
vs Jack Della Maddalena · May 25L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25L
DECvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jun 26 Chance Rencountre
oldest →W
SUBvs Kyle Stewart · Jan 19W
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Jul 19L
KOvs Lyman Good · Nov 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Belal MuhammadMetricChance Rencountre
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.61Δ 3.13 — meaningful gap-2.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Belal MuhammadChance Rencountre
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Belal Muhammad(10 fights)Chance Rencountre(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -12.7|Blue +12.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -46.8|Blue +46.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Belal MuhammadTargetChance Rencountre
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Chance Rencountre rounds
Round 1Belal Muhammad edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Belal Muhammad edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns1
Control0:19
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Belal Muhammad edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns2
Control1:43
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
