Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jason Knight enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Tatsuya Kawajiri has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tatsuya KawajiriL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Sean Soriano · Jan 14W
vs Dennis Siver · Jun 15L
vs Dennis Bermudez · Feb 16 Jason KnightL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Chas Skelly · May 17L
KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Jul 17L
vs Gabriel Benitez · Dec 17L
vs Makwan Amirkhani · May 18L
vs Jordan Rinaldi · Nov 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tatsuya KawajiriMetricJason Knight
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.03evenly matched on net striking-0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tatsuya KawajiriJason Knight
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tatsuya Kawajiri(6 fights)Jason Knight(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -11.0|Blue +11.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.5|Blue +48.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tatsuya KawajiriTargetJason Knight
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tatsuya Kawajiri edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control4:41
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Tatsuya Kawajiri edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns2
Control4:34
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Tatsuya Kawajiri edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns3
Control4:22
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
