Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Junior Dos Santos enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Cain Velasquez is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Junior Dos Santos has lost 88% of fights by KO.
- Junior Dos Santos is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Cain Velasquez has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cain Velasquez
oldest →W
KOvs Antonio Silva · May 13W
KOvs Junior Dos Santos · Oct 13L
SUBvs Fabricio Werdum · Jun 15W
KOvs Travis Browne · Jul 16L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Feb 19 Junior Dos SantosL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Mar 19L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Jun 19L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Jan 20L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 20L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Dec 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cain VelasquezMetricJunior Dos Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+4.04Δ 2.88 — meaningful gap+1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cain VelasquezJunior Dos Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cain Velasquez(9 fights)Junior Dos Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +98.8|Blue -98.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +231.0|Blue -231.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cain VelasquezTargetJunior Dos Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Junior Dos Santos rounds
Round 1Junior Dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
