Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joanna JedrzejczykL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Tecia Torres · Jul 18L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Dec 18W
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 19L
KOvs Zhang Weili · Jun 22 Karolina KowalkiewiczL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 23W
vs Diana Belbita · Oct 23L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · May 24L
vs Denise Gomes · Nov 24L
KOvs Julia Polastri · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joanna JedrzejczykMetricKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+3.03Δ 3.26 — meaningful gap-0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joanna JedrzejczykKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joanna Jedrzejczyk(10 fights)Karolina Kowalkiewicz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +22.0|Blue -22.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joanna JedrzejczykTargetKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
5
Joanna Jedrzejczyk rounds
0
Karolina Kowalkiewicz rounds
Round 1Joanna Jedrzejczyk edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:28
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:39Control
Round 2Joanna Jedrzejczyk edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:22
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:58Control
Round 3Joanna Jedrzejczyk edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:46
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:36Control
Round 4Joanna Jedrzejczyk edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns1
Control0:40
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:17Control
Round 5Joanna Jedrzejczyk edged it
Sig. strikes43
Takedowns0
Control1:14
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
