Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Easton enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mike Easton (53.5%).
- Mike Easton has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raphael Assuncao
oldest →L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 19L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 20L
KOvs Ricky Simon · Dec 21W
vs Victor Henry · Oct 22L
SUBvs Davey Grant · Mar 23 Mike EastonL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Jared Papazian · Jan 12W
vs Ivan Menjivar · Jul 12L
vs Brad Pickett · Apr 13L
vs TJ Dillashaw · Jan 14L
vs Yves Jabouin · Jun 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raphael AssuncaoMetricMike Easton
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.72Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap-0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Raphael AssuncaoMike Easton
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raphael Assuncao(10 fights)Mike Easton(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +142.3|Blue -142.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -4.0|Blue +4.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Raphael AssuncaoTargetMike Easton
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Raphael Assuncao edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:44
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Raphael Assuncao edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:09
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 3Raphael Assuncao edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control1:30
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
