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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Waldo Cortes-Acosta won · U-DEC R3
Elo1562
Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Elo1493

Waldo Cortes-AcostavsRobelis DespaigneUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · Saturday, May 11, 2024St. Louis, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

Waldo Cortes-Acosta won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Waldo Cortes-Acosta wins(62.8%)

Actual result: Waldo Cortes-Acosta wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Waldo Cortes-Acosta at +190 American odds

+$190 profit

$290 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Robelis Despaigne has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Red Corner
VS
Robelis Despaigne
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
1562
Elo
1493
32
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'7"
198.12 cm
Reach
213.36 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Waldo Cortes-AcostaW2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Jared Vanderaa · Oct 22
W
vs Chase Sherman · Nov 22
L
vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Apr 23
W
KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Aug 23
W
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jan 24
latest
Robelis Despaigne
oldest →
W
KOvs Josh Parisian · Mar 24
L
vs Austen Lane · Oct 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Waldo Cortes-AcostaMetricRobelis Despaigne
—
Strikes / min
2.11
—
Strikes absorbed / min
2.54
—
Strike defense
46%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.00
—
Takedown defense
50%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1535 vs 1512Strikes5.6 vs 2.1Takedowns0.6 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form0.6 vs 1.0
Waldo Cortes-AcostaRobelis Despaigne

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801508153515631590← oldermost recent →
Waldo Cortes-Acosta(10 fights)Robelis Despaigne(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +68.5|Blue -68.5
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights3

Robelis Despaigne

StanceOrthodox
Height79.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights3