Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Diego Brandao has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jimy Hettes (53.5%).
- Jimy Hettes has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego Brandao
oldest →W
vs Daniel Pineda · Aug 13L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Dec 13L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 14W
KOvs Katsunori Kikuno · Sep 15L
SUBvs Brian Ortega · Jan 16 Jimy Hettes
oldest →W
SUBvs Alex Caceres · Aug 11L
vs Marcus Brimage · Sep 12W
SUBvs Rob Whiteford · Oct 13L
KOvs Dennis Bermudez · Mar 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego BrandaoMetricJimy Hettes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.44evenly matched on net striking-0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Diego BrandaoJimy Hettes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Brandao(10 fights)Jimy Hettes(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +135.9|Blue -135.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -126.0|Blue +126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Diego BrandaoTargetJimy Hettes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Diego Brandao edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns2
Control2:24
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
