Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jan Blachowicz has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jan Blachowicz
oldest →L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22L
vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25D
vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25 Nikita Krylov
oldest →W
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Mar 23L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 25L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 25W
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jan 26L
KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jan BlachowiczMetricNikita Krylov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.41Δ 1.36 — meaningful gap+1.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jan BlachowiczNikita Krylov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)Nikita Krylov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +8.1|Blue -8.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -462.0|Blue +462.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jan BlachowiczTargetNikita Krylov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jan Blachowicz edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control2:42
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:40Control
Round 2Jan Blachowicz edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control2:12
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
