Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alessandro Costa enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Alessandro Costa is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Jimmy Flick has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Alessandro Costa has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alessandro Costa has 86pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jimmy FlickL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Cody Durden · Dec 20L
KOvs Charles Johnson · Jan 23W
SUBvs Malcolm Gordon · Jan 24L
vs Matt Schnell · Apr 25 Alessandro CostaW3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Kevin Borjas · May 24L
KOvs Alden Coria · Sep 25W
KOvs Stewart Nicoll · Apr 26W
KOvs Matt Schnell · Jun 26W
SUBvs Cody Durden · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jimmy FlickMetricAlessandro Costa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-3.03Δ 3.04 — meaningful gap+0.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jimmy FlickAlessandro Costa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jimmy Flick(6 fights)Alessandro Costa(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jimmy FlickTargetAlessandro Costa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alessandro Costa edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:14
Knockdowns0
54Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:16Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Alessandro Costa edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:34Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
