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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Dennis Bermudez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1353

Dennis BermudezvsSteven SilerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · Wednesday, November 6, 2013Fort Campbell, Kentucky, USA

Official fight result

Dennis Bermudez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDennis Bermudez: WrestlervsSteven Siler: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Dennis Bermudez wins(71.1%)

Actual result: Dennis Bermudez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dennis Bermudez at -190 American odds

+$53 profit

$153 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dennis Bermudez has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Steven Siler has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dennis Bermudez

Red Corner

Steven Siler

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+175

(36%)

1491

Elo

1353

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'11"

167.64 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dennis Bermudez

oldest →

KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Feb 17

vs Darren Elkins · Jul 17

vs Andre Fili · Jan 18

vs Rick Glenn · Jul 18

vs Te Edwards · Jan 19

latest

Steven SilerL2 streak

oldest →

vs Darren Elkins · Nov 12

vs Kurt Holobaugh · Apr 13

KOvs Mike Brown · Aug 13

KOvs Rony Jason · Mar 14

vs Noad Lahat · Jul 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dennis BermudezMetricSteven Siler

4.42

Strikes / min

3.21

3.07

Strikes absorbed / min

2.96

59%

Strike defense

54%

3.89

TDs / 15 min

0.47

82%

Takedown defense

55%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.35Δ 1.10 — meaningful gap+0.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dennis BermudezSteven Siler

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dennis Bermudez(10 fights)Steven Siler(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +138.0|Blue -138.0

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +84.0|Blue -84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dennis BermudezTargetSteven Siler

By target zone

40% acc · 80%

Head

26% acc · 83%

43% acc · 7%

Body

100% acc · 17%

67% acc · 14%

Leg

By position

31% acc · 48%

Distance

24% acc · 70%

50% acc · 11%

Clinch

63% acc · 22%

69% acc · 41%

Ground

100% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dennis Bermudez rounds

even

Steven Siler rounds

Round 1Dennis Bermudez edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns2

Control2:56

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:28Control

Round 2Dennis Bermudez edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns2

Control3:47

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:17Control

Round 3Dennis Bermudez edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns2

Control1:18

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 104

Sig Strikes

23 / 77

41.7%

Sig Str %

33%

74 / 137

Total Strikes

44 / 98

6 / 10

TDs

0 / 0

66.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

8:01

Ctrl Time

0:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Steven Siler	5 / 18	9 / 22	0 / 0	3
1	Dennis Bermudez	17 / 32	23 / 40	2 / 4	2
2	Steven Siler	4 / 9	11 / 16	0 / 0	0
2	Dennis Bermudez	7 / 21	27 / 42	2 / 2	1
3	Steven Siler	14 / 50	24 / 60	0 / 0	0
3	Dennis Bermudez	20 / 51	24 / 55	2 / 4	1

Dennis Bermudez

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights17

Steven Siler

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights9