Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gleison Tibau enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gleison Tibau has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Norman Parke
oldest →W
KOvs Naoyuki Kotani · Jul 14L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · May 15L
vs Rustam Khabilov · Feb 16 Gleison TibauL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Piotr Hallmann · Sep 14L
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Feb 15L
vs Abel Trujillo · Nov 15L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 18L
vs Desmond Green · Jun 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Norman ParkeMetricGleison Tibau
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.18evenly matched on net striking-0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Norman ParkeGleison Tibau
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Norman Parke(8 fights)Gleison Tibau(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +124.8|Blue -124.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Norman ParkeTargetGleison Tibau
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Norman Parke edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:03
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Gleison Tibau edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:30
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:57Control
Round 3Norman Parke edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:35
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
