Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shane Carwin is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Brock Lesnar has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Brock Lesnar threatens submissions; Shane Carwin has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Brock Lesnar has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brock LesnarL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Cain Velasquez · Oct 10L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · Dec 11 Shane Carwin
oldest →L
vs Junior Dos Santos · Jun 11 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brock LesnarMetricShane Carwin
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.42evenly matched on net striking+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brock LesnarShane Carwin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brock Lesnar(3 fights)Shane Carwin(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.4|Blue -49.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.9|Blue -49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brock LesnarTargetShane Carwin
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Shane Carwin edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control1:04
Knockdowns0
40Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:44Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Brock Lesnar edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control1:29
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
