Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Arman Tsarukyan has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Jun 23W
vs Michael Chandler · Nov 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26 Arman TsarukyanW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Jun 22W
vs Damir Ismagulov · Dec 22W
KOvs Joaquim Silva · Jun 23W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Dec 23W
SUBvs Dan Hooker · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles OliveiraMetricArman Tsarukyan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.18Δ 1.87 — meaningful gap+2.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Charles OliveiraArman Tsarukyan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Oliveira(10 fights)Arman Tsarukyan(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -9.6|Blue +9.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +175.0|Blue -175.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Charles OliveiraTargetArman Tsarukyan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control1:44
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:42Control
Round 2Arman Tsarukyan edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:49Control
Round 3Arman Tsarukyan edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:48
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:10Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
