Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Diego Brandao has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Diego Brandao has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Darren Elkins has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego Brandao
oldest →L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Dec 13L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 14W
KOvs Jimy Hettes · Apr 15W
KOvs Katsunori Kikuno · Sep 15L
SUBvs Brian Ortega · Jan 16 Darren Elkins
oldest →W
vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego BrandaoMetricDarren Elkins
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.44evenly matched on net striking+0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Diego BrandaoDarren Elkins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Brandao(10 fights)Darren Elkins(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -9.0|Blue +9.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Diego BrandaoTargetDarren Elkins
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Diego Brandao edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control3:13
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Darren Elkins edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:56Control
Round 3Darren Elkins edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:56
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:27Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
