Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Samman is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Tamdan McCrory has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Tamdan McCrory threatens submissions; Josh Samman has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Tamdan McCrory has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tamdan McCrory (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh Samman
oldest →W
KOvs Kevin Casey · Apr 13W
KOvs Eddie Gordon · Dec 14W
SUBvs Caio Magalhaes · Jul 15L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jul 16 Tamdan McCroryL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Krzysztof Jotko · Jun 16L
KOvs Nate Marquardt · Oct 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh SammanMetricTamdan McCrory
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.39evenly matched on net striking+0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Josh SammanTamdan McCrory
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Samman(5 fights)Tamdan McCrory(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.6|Blue +48.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Josh SammanTargetTamdan McCrory
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Josh Samman edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control3:13
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:33Control
Round 2Tamdan McCrory edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control1:40
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:14Control
Round 3Tamdan McCrory edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control1:28
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:30Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
