Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Amanda Nunes has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Amanda NunesW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Felicia Spencer · Jun 20W
SUBvs Megan Anderson · Mar 21L
SUBvs Julianna Pena · Dec 21W
vs Julianna Pena · Jul 22W
vs Irene Aldana · Jun 23 Shayna Baszler
oldest →L
KOvs Bethe Correia · Aug 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Amanda NunesMetricShayna Baszler
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.93Δ 5.80 — meaningful gap-3.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Amanda NunesShayna Baszler
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Amanda Nunes(10 fights)Shayna Baszler(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +147.0|Blue -147.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Amanda NunesTargetShayna Baszler
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
