Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Herbert Burns enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Herbert Burns is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Jack Jenkins has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Herbert Burns threatens submissions; Jack Jenkins has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Jack Jenkins has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jack Jenkins (52.9%).
- Herbert Burns has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack Jenkins
oldest →W
vs Jamall Emmers · Jun 23L
KOvs Chepe Mariscal · Sep 23L
SUBvs Gabriel Santos · Feb 25W
vs Ramon Taveras · Sep 25 Herbert BurnsL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Jan 20W
SUBvs Evan Dunham · Jun 20L
KOvs Daniel Pineda · Aug 20L
KOvs Bill Algeo · Jul 22L
KOvs Julio Arce · Mar 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack JenkinsMetricHerbert Burns
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.53Δ 4.84 — meaningful gap-3.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jack JenkinsHerbert Burns
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Jenkins(6 fights)Herbert Burns(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +26.6|Blue -26.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +203.0|Blue -203.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jack JenkinsTargetHerbert Burns
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jack Jenkins edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control0:03
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:09Control
Round 2Jack Jenkins edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control2:15
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:45Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Jack Jenkins edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:26
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
