Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kyler Phillips enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kyler Phillips has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kyler PhillipsL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Raoni Barcelos · Aug 23W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 24L
vs Vinicius Oliveira · Jul 25L
DECvs Charles Jourdain · Apr 26 Raulian PaivaL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Rogerio Bontorin · Aug 19W
KOvs Mark De La Rosa · Feb 20W
DECvs Zhalgas Zhamagulov · Jul 20L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Dec 21L
vs Sergey Morozov · Jun 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kyler PhillipsMetricRaulian Paiva
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.92Δ 1.79 — meaningful gap-0.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kyler PhillipsRaulian Paiva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kyler Phillips(10 fights)Raulian Paiva(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +47.0|Blue -47.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -238.0|Blue +238.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kyler PhillipsTargetRaulian Paiva
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kyler Phillips edged it
Sig. strikes45
Takedowns1
Control1:01
Knockdowns1
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:23Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns2
Control1:37
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:25Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control0:24
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:44Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
