Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alice Pereira has 26pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Hailey Cowan (53.5%).
- Alice Pereira has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alice Pereira
oldest →L
vs Montse Rendon · Sep 25 Hailey CowanL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Apr 23L
SUBvs Nora Cornolle · Apr 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alice PereiraMetricHailey Cowan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.28evenly matched on net striking-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alice PereiraHailey Cowan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alice Pereira(2 fights)Hailey Cowan(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +57.8|Blue -57.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -154.0|Blue +154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alice PereiraTargetHailey Cowan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:07Control
Round 2Hailey Cowan edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:09Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
