Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yana Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Holly Holm has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Holly Holm (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Holly HolmL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Jul 19W
vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 20W
vs Irene Aldana · Oct 20L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 22L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Apr 24 Yana SantosW3 streak
oldest →W
vs Chelsea Chandler · Aug 24W
vs Macy Chiasson · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Holly HolmMetricYana Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.21Δ 1.08 — meaningful gap+1.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Holly HolmYana Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Holly Holm(10 fights)Yana Santos(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -29.5|Blue +29.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.9|Blue +47.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Holly HolmTargetYana Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control1:41
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:19Control
Round 2Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control4:09
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control3:59
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
