Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ike Villanueva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Chase Sherman is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Ike Villanueva has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Chase Sherman has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ike Villanueva has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Chase Sherman has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chase ShermanL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Jake Collier · Jan 22L
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Apr 22W
KOvs Jared Vanderaa · Jul 22L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Nov 22L
vs Karl Williams · May 23 Ike VillanuevaL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Jordan Wright · Aug 20W
KOvs Vinicius Moreira · Jan 21L
KOvs Marcin Prachnio · Jun 21L
KOvs Nicolae Negumereanu · Oct 21L
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Apr 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chase ShermanMetricIke Villanueva
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.61Δ 2.97 — meaningful gap-3.58
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chase ShermanIke Villanueva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chase Sherman(10 fights)Ike Villanueva(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +36.7|Blue -36.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -46.8|Blue +46.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chase ShermanTargetIke Villanueva
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chase Sherman edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Chase Sherman edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
