Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Zhalgas Zhumagulov threatens submissions; Jerome Rivera has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Zhalgas Zhumagulov has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zhalgas Zhumagulov (54.1%).
- Jerome Rivera has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zhalgas ZhumagulovL5 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Manel Kape · Dec 21L
vs Charles Johnson · Nov 22 Jerome RiveraL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Francisco Figueiredo · Jan 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zhalgas ZhumagulovMetricJerome Rivera
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.62Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Zhalgas ZhumagulovJerome Rivera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zhalgas Zhumagulov(6 fights)Jerome Rivera(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +58.7|Blue -58.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -3.0|Blue +3.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Zhalgas ZhumagulovTargetJerome Rivera
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Zhalgas Zhumagulov rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:12
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
