Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcus Davis has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marcus Davis (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcus DavisL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Nate Diaz · Aug 10L
KOvs Jeremy Stephens · Jan 11 Jonathan GouletNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcus DavisMetricJonathan Goulet
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.07evenly matched on net striking-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marcus DavisJonathan Goulet
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcus Davis(3 fights)Jonathan Goulet(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -139.2|Blue +139.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marcus DavisTargetJonathan Goulet
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jonathan Goulet edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
4Takedowns
3:24Control
Round 2Marcus Davis edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:46
Knockdowns2
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
0Knockdowns
