Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paddy Holohan has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paddy Holohan
oldest →W
SUBvs Joshua Sampo · Jul 14W
vs Shane Howell · Jan 15L
SUBvs Louis Smolka · Oct 15 Chris Kelades
oldest →L
vs Sergio Pettis · Apr 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paddy HolohanMetricChris Kelades
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.68evenly matched on net striking-0.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Paddy HolohanChris Kelades
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paddy Holohan(5 fights)Chris Kelades(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Paddy HolohanTargetChris Kelades
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Paddy Holohan edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns3
Control3:41
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:29Control
Round 2Chris Kelades edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control2:37
32Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:56Control
Round 3Chris Kelades edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:12
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:49Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
