Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rob Font has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jean Matsumoto has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rob FontL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 23L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Dec 23W
vs Kyler Phillips · Oct 24L
vs David Martinez · Sep 25L
vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 26 Jean Matsumoto
oldest →W
SUBvs Dan Argueta · Apr 24L
vs Farid Basharat · Feb 26W
DECvs Bekzat Almakhan · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rob FontMetricJean Matsumoto
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.58Δ 1.62 — meaningful gap-0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rob FontJean Matsumoto
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rob Font(10 fights)Jean Matsumoto(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -27.9|Blue +27.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rob FontTargetJean Matsumoto
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:26
7Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:40Control
Round 2Jean Matsumoto edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
5Takedowns
2:05Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:52
41Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:30Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
