Featherweight

3 Rounds

Josh Culibao won · S-DEC R3

Elo1487

Elo1491

SeungWoo ChoivsJosh CulibaoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · Saturday, June 11, 2022Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Josh Culibao won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSeungWoo Choi: Well-roundedvsJosh Culibao: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Josh Culibao wins(60.2%)

Actual result: Josh Culibao wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Josh Culibao at +185 American odds

+$185 profit

$285 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Josh Culibao has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

SeungWoo Choi

Red Corner

Josh Culibao

Blue Corner

-225

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+185

(35%)

1487

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'10"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

SeungWoo ChoiL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Alex Caceres · Oct 21

KOvs Michael Trizano · Nov 22

vs Jarno Errens · Aug 23

KOvs Steve Garcia · Jul 24

KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Mar 25

latest

Josh CulibaoL3 streak

oldest →

vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · May 21

SUBvs Melsik Baghdasaryan · Feb 23

vs Lerone Murphy · Jul 23

vs Danny Silva · Mar 24

vs Ricardo Ramos · Aug 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

SeungWoo ChoiMetricJosh Culibao

3.56

Strikes / min

3.41

3.16

Strikes absorbed / min

3.04

47%

Strike defense

59%

0.83

TDs / 15 min

0.00

70%

Takedown defense

65%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.40evenly matched on net striking+0.37

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

SeungWoo ChoiJosh Culibao

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

SeungWoo Choi(10 fights)Josh Culibao(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.1|Blue +4.1

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -154.0|Blue +154.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

SeungWoo ChoiTargetJosh Culibao

By target zone

21% acc · 63%

Head

41% acc · 78%

43% acc · 13%

Body

78% acc · 14%

92% acc · 24%

Leg

80% acc · 8%

By position

27% acc · 85%

Distance

42% acc · 78%

40% acc · 9%

Clinch

75% acc · 12%

50% acc · 7%

Ground

63% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

SeungWoo Choi rounds

even

Josh Culibao rounds

Round 1Josh Culibao edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:25

Knockdowns0

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:20Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Josh Culibao edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3SeungWoo Choi edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control2:05

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:36Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 163

Sig Strikes

51 / 111

28%

Sig Str %

44.7%

64 / 184

Total Strikes

69 / 132

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:30

Ctrl Time

0:58

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Josh Culibao	23 / 47	35 / 62	0 / 0
1	SeungWoo Choi	17 / 62	18 / 63	0 / 0
2	Josh Culibao	19 / 43	19 / 43	0 / 0
2	SeungWoo Choi	16 / 59	16 / 59	0 / 1
3	Josh Culibao	9 / 21	15 / 27	0 / 0
3	SeungWoo Choi	13 / 42	30 / 62	1 / 1

SeungWoo Choi

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights8

Josh Culibao

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6