Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Maguire has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Matthew Riddle has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matthew Riddle
oldest →W
KOvs DaMarques Johnson · Aug 10L
vs Sean Pierson · Dec 10L
vs Lance Benoist · Sep 11W
vs Henry Martinez · Feb 12 John MaguireL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Justin Edwards · Nov 11W
SUBvs DaMarques Johnson · Apr 12L
vs John Hathaway · Sep 12L
vs Mitch Clarke · Jun 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matthew RiddleMetricJohn Maguire
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.27Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap-1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matthew RiddleJohn Maguire
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matthew Riddle(6 fights)John Maguire(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.0|Blue -138.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +238.0|Blue -238.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matthew RiddleTargetJohn Maguire
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Matthew Riddle edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:21
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 2Matthew Riddle edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control1:42
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 3Matthew Riddle edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control1:09
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
