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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Song Yadong won · U-DEC R3

Elo1518

Elo1454

Song YadongvsVince MoralesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · Saturday, November 24, 2018Beijing, China

Official fight result

Song Yadong won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSong Yadong: Pressure fightervsVince Morales: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Song Yadong wins(69.7%)

Actual result: Song Yadong wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Song Yadong at -550 American odds

+$18 profit

$118 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Vince Morales enters on a 5-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Song Yadong

Red Corner

Vince Morales

Blue Corner

-550

(85%)

Vegas Odds

+425

(19%)

1518

Elo

1454

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Song Yadong

oldest →

vs Chris Gutierrez · Dec 23

vs Petr Yan · Mar 24

vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 25

vs Sean O'Malley · Jan 26

SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 26

latest

Vince MoralesL5 streak

oldest →

vs Miles Johns · Nov 22

vs Taylor Lapilus · Sep 24

vs Elijah Smith · Feb 25

vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 25

DECvs Colby Thicknesse · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Song YadongMetricVince Morales

4.42

Strikes / min

3.54

3.94

Strikes absorbed / min

3.91

55%

Strike defense

54%

0.78

TDs / 15 min

0.71

73%

Takedown defense

63%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.48evenly matched on net striking-0.37

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Song YadongVince Morales

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Song Yadong(10 fights)Vince Morales(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +63.4|Blue -63.4

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Song YadongTargetVince Morales

By target zone

40% acc · 70%

Head

31% acc · 70%

72% acc · 16%

Body

64% acc · 19%

69% acc · 14%

Leg

67% acc · 11%

By position

45% acc · 94%

Distance

35% acc · 91%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

75% acc · 8%

60% acc · 4%

Ground

33% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Song Yadong rounds

even

Vince Morales rounds

Round 1Song Yadong edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Vince Morales edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Song Yadong edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns2

Control2:42

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

79 / 172

Sig Strikes

74 / 201

46%

Sig Str %

35%

86 / 181

Total Strikes

83 / 211

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:42

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Vince Morales	11 / 50	11 / 50	0 / 0
1	Song Yadong	23 / 55	23 / 55	0 / 0
2	Vince Morales	33 / 80	33 / 80	0 / 0
2	Song Yadong	26 / 65	26 / 65	0 / 0
3	Vince Morales	30 / 71	39 / 81	0 / 0
3	Song Yadong	30 / 52	37 / 61	2 / 2

Song Yadong

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights17

Vince Morales

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights11