Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Movsar Evloev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Movsar Evloev has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Movsar Evloev has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Movsar Evloev has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nik LentzL2 streak
oldest →L
vs David Teymur · Jun 18W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18W
vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20 Movsar EvloevW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 24W
vs Aljamain Sterling · Dec 24W
vs Lerone Murphy · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nik LentzMetricMovsar Evloev
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.19evenly matched on net striking+1.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nik LentzMovsar Evloev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nik Lentz(10 fights)Movsar Evloev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -141.4|Blue +141.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.4|Blue -2.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +182.0|Blue -182.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nik LentzTargetMovsar Evloev
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Movsar Evloev edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:46
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:22Control
Round 2Movsar Evloev edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control0:33
28Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:59Control
Round 3Movsar Evloev edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:07
47Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
