Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felipe Arantes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Antonio Carvalho has 59pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Felipe ArantesL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Yves Jabouin · Aug 15W
SUBvs Jerrod Sanders · Jul 16L
KOvs Song Yadong · Jun 18 Antonio Carvalho
oldest →W
KOvs Daniel Pineda · Jul 12W
vs Rodrigo Damm · Nov 12L
KOvs Darren Elkins · Mar 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Felipe ArantesMetricAntonio Carvalho
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Felipe ArantesAntonio Carvalho
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Felipe Arantes(10 fights)Antonio Carvalho(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -124.2|Blue +124.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Felipe ArantesTargetAntonio Carvalho
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Antonio Carvalho edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:49Control
Round 2Felipe Arantes edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:07
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:30Control
Round 3Felipe Arantes edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control2:40
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
