Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Schnell threatens submissions; Marco Beltran has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt SchnellL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Steve Erceg · Mar 24L
SUBvs Cody Durden · Sep 24L
SUBvs Joseph Morales · Nov 25L
KOvs Alessandro Costa · Jun 26 Marco Beltran
oldest →W
DECvs Ning Guangyou · Nov 15W
SUBvs Reginaldo Vieira · Jul 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt SchnellMetricMarco Beltran
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.04evenly matched on net striking+0.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matt SchnellMarco Beltran
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Schnell(10 fights)Marco Beltran(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +102.8|Blue -102.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -168.0|Blue +168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matt SchnellTargetMarco Beltran
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Matt Schnell edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Marco Beltran edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:16
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:11Control
