Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shane Burgos has 56pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shane BurgosW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Makwan Amirkhani · Nov 19L
KOvs Edson Barboza · May 21W
vs Billy Quarantillo · Nov 21W
vs Charles Jourdain · Jul 22 Godofredo Pepey
oldest →W
SUBvs Dashon Johnson · Sep 14W
SUBvs Andre Fili · Mar 15L
vs Darren Elkins · Jul 16W
SUBvs Mike de la Torre · Sep 16L
KOvs Mirsad Bektic · Jan 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shane BurgosMetricGodofredo Pepey
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.62Δ 1.53 — meaningful gap-0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Shane BurgosGodofredo Pepey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shane Burgos(10 fights)Godofredo Pepey(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +132.7|Blue -132.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -196.0|Blue +196.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Shane BurgosTargetGodofredo Pepey
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Shane Burgos edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control0:10
Knockdowns2
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:05Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Shane Burgos edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:24
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 3Shane Burgos edged it
Sig. strikes50
Takedowns0
Control0:23
Knockdowns1
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
