Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Krzysztof Jotko has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Scott AskhamL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Magnus Cedenblad · Oct 14W
KOvs Antonio Dos Santos · Jun 15W
KOvs Chris Dempsey · Feb 16L
vs Jack Hermansson · Sep 16L
DECvs Bradley Scott · Mar 17 Krzysztof Jotko
oldest →L
vs Sean Strickland · May 21W
vs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 21W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 22L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Oct 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Scott AskhamMetricKrzysztof Jotko
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.49Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap+0.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Scott AskhamKrzysztof Jotko
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Scott Askham(6 fights)Krzysztof Jotko(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -136.4|Blue +136.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -259.0|Blue +259.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Scott AskhamTargetKrzysztof Jotko
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Krzysztof Jotko edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:32Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:52
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control1:30
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:25Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
