Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Ledet enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dustin Jacoby is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Justin Ledet has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Dustin Jacoby has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Justin Ledet has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin Jacoby
oldest →L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Jun 24W
KOvs Vitor Petrino · Dec 24W
KOvs Bruno Lopes · May 25W
KOvs Julius Walker · Feb 26L
KOvs Muhammad Saidov · Jul 26 Justin LedetL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Mark Godbeer · Nov 16W
DECvs Zu Anyanwu · Sep 17L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Jul 18L
KOvs Johnny Walker · Feb 19L
vs Aleksa Camur · Jan 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin JacobyMetricJustin Ledet
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.48Δ 2.95 — meaningful gap-1.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dustin JacobyJustin Ledet
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Jacoby(10 fights)Justin Ledet(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +124.3|Blue -124.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.1|Blue +2.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +2912.0|Blue -2912.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dustin JacobyTargetJustin Ledet
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dustin Jacoby edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:11
Knockdowns2
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
