Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Cezar Ferreira has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Cezar Ferreira has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marvin VettoriL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 23L
vs Jared Cannonier · Jun 23L
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 25L
vs Brendan Allen · Jul 25L
vs Brunno Ferreira · Dec 25 Cezar Ferreira
oldest →W
SUBvs Jack Hermansson · Nov 16L
vs Elias Theodorou · Feb 17W
vs Nate Marquardt · Nov 17W
SUBvs Karl Roberson · May 18L
vs Ian Heinisch · Nov 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marvin VettoriMetricCezar Ferreira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.19evenly matched on net striking-0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marvin VettoriCezar Ferreira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marvin Vettori(10 fights)Cezar Ferreira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +93.0|Blue -93.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +217.0|Blue -217.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marvin VettoriTargetCezar Ferreira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Marvin Vettori edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control0:49
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Marvin Vettori edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control1:38
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Marvin Vettori edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:07
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
