Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kajan Johnson has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zhang Lipeng (53.5%).
- Kajan Johnson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zhang Lipeng
oldest →W
DECvs Brendan O'Reilly · Aug 14L
DECvs Chris Wade · Jan 15 Kajan JohnsonL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Naoyuki Kotani · Sep 15W
KOvs Adriano Martins · Sep 17L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jul 18L
vs Rustam Khabilov · Sep 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zhang LipengMetricKajan Johnson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.60Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap+0.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Zhang LipengKajan Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zhang Lipeng(4 fights)Kajan Johnson(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -12.9|Blue +12.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -218.0|Blue +218.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Zhang LipengTargetKajan Johnson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control1:22
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:05Control
Round 2Kajan Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:15
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:05Control
Round 3Kajan Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:55
5Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:14Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
