Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Castaneda (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nathaniel WoodW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Muhammad Naimov · Oct 23W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jul 24W
vs Morgan Charriere · Mar 25W
vs Jose Delgado · Oct 25W
vs Losene Keita · Mar 26 John Castaneda
oldest →W
vs Muin Gafurov · Jun 23W
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 23L
vs Daniel Marcos · Jun 24L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 25D
DECvs Mark Vologdin · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nathaniel WoodMetricJohn Castaneda
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.39Δ 1.51 — meaningful gap-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nathaniel WoodJohn Castaneda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nathaniel Wood(10 fights)John Castaneda(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +47.7|Blue -47.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.6|Blue +48.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nathaniel WoodTargetJohn Castaneda
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nathaniel Wood edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:05
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 2Nathaniel Wood edged it
Sig. strikes52
Takedowns0
Control0:32
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Nathaniel Wood edged it
Sig. strikes46
Takedowns1
Control0:12
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
