Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lyman Good is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Chance Rencountre has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Chance Rencountre threatens submissions; Lyman Good has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Lyman Good has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Lyman Good has 59pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chance Rencountre (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lyman GoodL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Andrew Craig · Jul 15L
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jul 17W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Nov 18L
SUBvs Demian Maia · Feb 19L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 20 Chance RencountreW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 18W
SUBvs Kyle Stewart · Jan 19W
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Jul 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lyman GoodMetricChance Rencountre
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.33Δ 3.85 — meaningful gap-2.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Lyman GoodChance Rencountre
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lyman Good(6 fights)Chance Rencountre(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.3|Blue -2.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +154.0|Blue -154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Lyman GoodTargetChance Rencountre
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Chance Rencountre rounds
Round 1Lyman Good edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:08
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 2Lyman Good edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Lyman Good edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
